European Central Bank

Our take on the investing, financial, & economic themes of the day

The Bizarro Market in Europe

1 June, 2017 by Mark O'Brien in Commentary
The chart below is amazing.  It originates from Bank of America’s Merrill Lynch and shows the yield of European stocks currently exceeding the yield of European junk bonds. So why do I think this state of affairs is “amazing?”  First there is one’s reaction or ... read more...

Barron’s on Competitive Devaluation

2 February, 2015 by Matthew O'Brien, Ph.D. in Commentary
In my post from last week about central banks I argued that they are devaluing their currencies in a zero-sum game for stimulating their domestic economies at the expense of their trade partners.  A recent piece by Jonathan Laing in Barron’s echoes some of the same points.  Laing cites ... read more...

Competitive Currency Devaluation Continues Apace

29 January, 2015 by Matthew O'Brien, Ph.D. in Commentary
One of the first things that you learn about economic growth, if you learn anything at all, is that growth is not a zero-sum game.  That is, when a company like Apple increases its earnings by 40% or so, as it did last quarter, it didn’t simply “take” those earnings from its ... read more...

Mis-Pricing Risk: European Edition

In April I commented about how central bank policy causes investors to mis-price risk.  The Wall Street Journal notes that 5-year yields on Spanish sovereign debt  have fallen from above 7% in 2012 to below those of U.S. Treasurys and Irish 10-year bond yields are below U.K. bonds of the same ... read more...